%0 Journal Article %A LI Hua-jin %A XU Qiang %A WANG Si-cheng %A QI Xing %A PENG Da-lei %A HE Yu-sen %T Application of a Novel Predictive Model Integrating Wavelet Analysis,Boosting Regression Tree and Extreme Learning Machine toLoess Landslide Displacement %D 2017 %R 10.11988/ckyyb.20160529 %J Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute %P 63-69 %V 34 %N 9 %X The deformation evolution process of loess landslide is often nonlinear due to many factors. A theoretical approach named WA-BT-ELM, which is based on wavelet analysis (WA), boosting regression tree (BT) and extreme learning machine (ELM), is proposed to predict loess landslide displacements. By analysis of nonlinear loess landslide time-dependent displacement dataset, the accumulation displacement data signal is decomposed into a series of sub-wavelets. Then, the importance of all the sub-wavelets to the displacement data series is computed by BT algorithm. The highly important sub-wavelets are selected to make further predictions. Furthermore, the predictive results of sub-wavelet and the original landslide displacement series are obtained through ELM algorithms. A case study of Heifangtai landslide in Gansu Province is presented to verify the predictive results. In comparison, the predictive results by using WA-BT-ELM model is faster and more accurate than those by ANN,BPNN,SVM,ELM and WA-ELM model, indicating that the WA-BT-ELM model is effective in loess landslide displacement prediction cases. %U http://ckyyb.crsri.cn/EN/10.11988/ckyyb.20160529